Real estate developers are building still more condos as American businessmen and foreigners jet in from overseas to snap up Montreal pieds-à-terre, downtown palaces like the historic Golden Square Mile's new deluxe 22-storey Roc Fleuri Condominiums on the corner of Drummond and De Maisonneuve, where penthouse units start at $2.8-million.
Across the street there's Le 1200, whose two monolithic 26-storey towers rise above its impressive faux-limestone arches. And then there's Le Crystal de la Montagne, an elegant 27-storey tower that boasts 131 "sumptuous" five-star condo-hotel suites and another 57 luxury condo residences.
But it's not just rich out-of-town high rollers who are buying up downtown condos, it's West Island and South Shore baby boomers, as well as young 25- to 30-year-old young adults who are purchasing more affordable condos in surrounding neighbourhoods.
"The boom is being fuelled by baby boomers who are still working, former homeowers whose children have moved out and now want to live close to their jobs," explains Paul Cardinal, senior market analyst for the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation. "Younger professionals aged 25 to 35 are
That compares to an average of $600 per square foot in Vancouver and $385 in Toronto.
Cardinal continues, "The Montreal condo market didn't really exist 10 years ago and it wasn't profitable for developers to build such projects, or build luxury penthouses atop condo high-rises. But now luxury condos are very popular. We still don't know how deep that market is, though, and developers are now testing the limits of the market."
The CMHC warns Montreal's condo construction boom may just be about ready to go bust. In 2004, condo construction in Montreal peaked with a record 10,503 new units, accounting for 35 per cent of all housing starts - up from 13 per cent in 1990. That number slipped to 8,758 in 2005, and the CMHC predicts condo construction will decrease further, to 8,000 units this year and to 7,000 units in 2007.
Meanwhile, the more telling number is the number of unsold new condos - it continues to increase, from just over 500 in 2001 to a whopping 2,000 unoccupied units this year.
"I'm not surprised the Montreal market has been able to sustain this kind of development since 1998, but the building cycle of new condos is now in a downturn," says Cardinal, quickly adding, "Construction has peaked, but prices haven't."
In other words, young Montrealers looking for a good deal won't necessarily find one in this market.
"Young Montrealers want to live downtown, but downtown is still the most expensive condo market," Cardinal says. "So they may want to look outside the downtown core in older neighbourhoods. Their first criteria is not to beat the market, but to buy what they want and what they can afford. This is still a good time to buy, there is a lot of choice, and because of the number of condos available out there, there is still the possibility to negotiate."
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